Match detail
Aston Villa vs Bologna
Europa League · Quarter-finals
Match summary
vs
Europa League · Quarter-finals
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Full Time
Venue
Villa Park · Birmingham
Referee
—
Live score
4-0
Top event
Goals Over/Under - Over 2.5
Probability
59%
Price
1.80
Initial publish
Apr 16, 2026, 12:20 AM GMT+2
Kickoff
Apr 16, 2026, 9:00 PM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 16, 2026, 8:39 PM GMT+2
Halftime score
3-0
What shaped the view
- + Bologna have to open the tie at some stage, and that should create transition space for Villa as the game stretches.
- + Villa keep Watkins with Rogers, McGinn and Buendía behind him; Bologna start Ravaglia in goal and a reshaped back five with Lucumí unavailable.
- + This is cleaner than laying Villa on a handicap in a second leg where they already lead 3-1.
Official lineups
Aston Villa
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #23 · Emiliano Martínez · GOALKEEPER
- #2 · Matty Cash · DEFENDER
- #4 · Ezri Konsa · DEFENDER
- #14 · Pau Torres · DEFENDER
- #12 · Lucas Digne · DEFENDER
- #24 · Amadou Onana · MIDFIELDER
- #8 · Youri Tielemans · MIDFIELDER
- #7 · John McGinn · MIDFIELDER
- #27 · Morgan Rogers · MIDFIELDER
- #10 · Emiliano Buendía · MIDFIELDER
- #11 · Ollie Watkins · ATTACKER
Bench
Victor Lindelöf, Tyrone Mings, Harvey Elliott, Andrés García, Tammy Abraham, Jadon Sancho, Douglas Luiz, Ian Maatsen
Bologna
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #13 · Federico Ravaglia · GOALKEEPER
- #33 · Juan Miranda · DEFENDER
- #41 · Martin Vitík · DEFENDER
- #16 · Nicolò Casale · DEFENDER
- #17 · João Mário · DEFENDER
- #8 · Remo Freuler · MIDFIELDER
- #6 · Nikola Moro · MIDFIELDER
- #10 · Federico Bernardeschi · MIDFIELDER
- #19 · Lewis Ferguson · MIDFIELDER
- #11 · Jonathan Rowe · MIDFIELDER
- #9 · Santiago Castro · ATTACKER
Bench
Tommaso Pobega, Riccardo Orsolini, Torbjørn Heggem, Nadir Zortea, Jens Odgaard, Charalampos Lykogiannis, Simon Sohm, Massimo Pessina
Injuries
- Bologna · Lukasz Skorupski · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Bologna · Benja Domínguez · Back Injury · BACK_INJURY
- Bologna · Thijs Dallinga · Muscle Injury · MUSCLE_INJURY
- Aston Villa · Boubacar Kamara · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Aston Villa · Alysson · Muscle Injury · MUSCLE_INJURY
- Bologna · Jhon Lucumí · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Bologna · Eivind Helland · Virus · VIRUS
Why it made the board
The chase script is real here: Bologna need goals, but they arrive with a weaker defensive setup and a reserve keeper, while Villa's XI is built to punish open grass and can still add more attack from the bench.
Main risk
Tactical Counter: If Bologna's back five keeps the game cagey for too long and Villa choose control over trade-offs, this can stall at two goals.
Update timeline
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
Apr 16, 2026, 12:20 AM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 16, 2026, 8:39 PM GMT+2
Score
Locked