Match detail
Arsenal vs Sporting CP
Champions League · Quarter-finals
Match summary
vs
Champions League · Quarter-finals
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Full Time
Venue
Emirates Stadium · London
Referee
—
Live score
0-0
Top event
Goals Over/Under - Over 2.5
Probability
58%
Price
1.80
Initial publish
Apr 14, 2026, 11:37 PM GMT+2
Kickoff
Apr 15, 2026, 9:00 PM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 15, 2026, 8:07 PM GMT+2
Halftime score
0-0
What shaped the view
- + Sporting have to push at some stage, and Arsenal's pace gives this a live transition script.
- + Arsenal still start Madueke, Eze, Martinelli and Gyökeres; Sporting go with Pedro Gonçalves, Trincão and Catamo in a must-score XI.
- + The side prices are noisy with Arsenal already protecting a 1-0 aggregate lead, so the total is the cleaner sell.
Official lineups
Arsenal
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #1 · David Raya · GOALKEEPER
- #3 · Cristhian Mosquera · DEFENDER
- #2 · William Saliba · DEFENDER
- #6 · Gabriel Magalhães · DEFENDER
- #5 · Piero Hincapié · DEFENDER
- #36 · Martín Zubimendi · MIDFIELDER
- #41 · Declan Rice · MIDFIELDER
- #20 · Noni Madueke · MIDFIELDER
- #10 · Eberechi Eze · MIDFIELDER
- #11 · Gabriel Martinelli · MIDFIELDER
- #14 · Viktor Gyökeres · ATTACKER
Bench
Ben White, Gabriel Jesus, Kepa Arrizabalaga, Christian Nørgaard, Leandro Trossard, Kai Havertz, Tommy Setford, Harrison Dudziak
Sporting CP
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #1 · Rui Silva · GOALKEEPER
- #72 · Eduardo Quaresma · DEFENDER
- #26 · Ousmane Diomande · DEFENDER
- #25 · Gonçalo Inácio · DEFENDER
- #20 · Maxi Araújo · DEFENDER
- #42 · Morten Hjulmand · MIDFIELDER
- #5 · Hidemasa Morita · MIDFIELDER
- #10 · Geny Catamo · MIDFIELDER
- #17 · Francisco Trincão · MIDFIELDER
- #8 · Pedro Gonçalves · MIDFIELDER
- #97 · Luis Suárez · ATTACKER
Bench
Zeno Debast, Geovany Quenda, João Virgínia, Georgios Vagiannidis, Giorgi Kochorashvili, Souleymane Faye, Daniel Bragança, João Simões
Injuries
- Arsenal · Mikel Merino · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Arsenal · Jurriën Timber · Muscle Injury · MUSCLE_INJURY
- Arsenal · Martin Ødegaard · Doubtful · DOUBTFUL
- Arsenal · Riccardo Calafiori · Doubtful · DOUBTFUL
- Sporting CP · Iván Fresneda · Muscle Injury · MUSCLE_INJURY
- Sporting CP · Nuno Santos · Thigh Muscle Strain · THIGH_MUSCLE_STRAIN
- Sporting CP · Luís Guilherme · Doubtful · DOUBTFUL
- Arsenal · Bukayo Saka · Muscle Injury · MUSCLE_INJURY
- Sporting CP · Fotis Ioannidis · Medial Collateral Ligament Injury · MEDIAL_COLLATERAL_LIGAMENT_INJURY
Why it made the board
Sporting need the goal and their official XI is built to chase it, while Arsenal's front four is set up to punish the spaces that creates. Over 2.5 is cleaner than laying Arsenal on a second-leg handicap.
Main risk
Tactical Counter: It fails if Arsenal flatten the game with Rice and Zubimendi and Sporting's pressure becomes sterile, leaving a 1-0 or 2-0 type score.
Update timeline
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
Apr 14, 2026, 11:37 PM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 15, 2026, 8:07 PM GMT+2
Score
Locked