Match detail
AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United
Premier League · 34
Match summary
vs
Premier League · 34
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Not Started
Venue
Vitality Stadium · Bournemouth
Referee
—
Live score
0-0
Top eventPrice1.93
Double Chance: Draw/Away
Probability
57%
Confidence
medium
Confidence
58%Initial publish
Apr 22, 2026, 7:00 AM GMT+2
Kickoff
Apr 22, 2026, 9:00 PM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 22, 2026, 8:03 PM GMT+2
Halftime score
0-0
What shaped the view
- Market shape points to a balanced game, not a strong over/under script.
- Official lineups are now confirmed. The lineup review completed, but the original market was retained because the alternative required a cross-market change.
- Bournemouth are only a narrow favorite, while the 2.75 goal line is close to even; the protected side angle is cleaner.
Official lineups
AFC Bournemouth
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #1 · Djordje Petrovic · GOALKEEPER
- #20 · Álex Jiménez · DEFENDER
- #23 · James Hill · DEFENDER
- #5 · Marcos Senesi · DEFENDER
- #3 · Adrien Truffert · DEFENDER
- #8 · Alex Scott · MIDFIELDER
- #10 · Ryan Christie · MIDFIELDER
- #7 · David Brooks · MIDFIELDER
- #22 · Eli Kroupi · MIDFIELDER
- #16 · Marcus Tavernier · MIDFIELDER
- #9 · Evanilson · ATTACKER
Bench
Ben Gannon-Doak, Tyler Adams, Adam Smith, Bafodé Diakité, Amine Adli, Enes Ünal, Alex Tóth, Christos Mandas
Leeds United
Formation: 3-4-2-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #26 · Karl Darlow · GOALKEEPER
- #24 · James Justin · DEFENDER
- #15 · Jaka Bijol · DEFENDER
- #5 · Pascal Struijk · DEFENDER
- #2 · Jayden Bogle · MIDFIELDER
- #4 · Ethan Ampadu · MIDFIELDER
- #22 · Ao Tanaka · MIDFIELDER
- #3 · Gabriel Gudmundsson · MIDFIELDER
- #11 · Brenden Aaronson · ATTACKER
- #19 · Noah Okafor · ATTACKER
- #9 · Dominic Calvert-Lewin · ATTACKER
Bench
Lucas Perri, Joe Rodon, Daniel James, Sean Longstaff, Joël Piroe, Lukas Nmecha, Sebastiaan Bornauw, Wilfried Gnonto
Injuries
- AFC Bournemouth · Matai Akinmboni · Muscle Injury · MUSCLE_INJURY
- AFC Bournemouth · Justin Kluivert · Knee Surgery · KNEE_SURGERY
- Leeds United · Anton Stach · Ankle Injury · ANKLE_INJURY
- Leeds United · Daniel James · Adductor Injury · ADDUCTOR_INJURY
Why it made the board
CompleteOfficial lineups are now confirmed and the latest odds were re-checked. The lineup review completed, but the evidence was not strong enough to justify replacing this angle with a cross-market alternative, so the original market stayed on the board.
Main risk
Odds Trap: If Bournemouth’s home edge is the sharper signal, this Leeds protection becomes the classic safe-looking bet that still dies on a straight home win.
Update timeline
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
Apr 22, 2026, 7:00 AM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 22, 2026, 8:03 PM GMT+2
Score
Locked