Match detail
AFC Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace
Premier League · 35
Match summary
vs
Premier League · 35
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Full Time
Venue
Vitality Stadium · Bournemouth
Referee
—
Live score
3-0
Top event
Asian Handicap: Crystal Palace +0.75
Probability
59%
Price
2.05
Initial publish
May 3, 2026, 2:04 PM GMT+2
Kickoff
May 3, 2026, 3:00 PM GMT+2
Revision time
May 3, 2026, 7:05 PM GMT+2
Halftime score
2-0
What shaped the view
- + Bournemouth should have home territory, but Palace’s 3-4-3 gives them enough outlet threat to keep this closer than a clean two-goal home script.
- + Official XIs support the anchor: Bournemouth are without Kluivert/Cook from the XI, while Palace still start a proper front three with Johnson, Strand Larsen and Pino.
- + Best side-family option remains Palace +0.75 at 2.05; Over 2.75 is not clearly 2-3 points stronger with Bournemouth missing some creation and the line already set high.
Official lineups
Crystal Palace
Formation: 3-4-3 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #1 · Dean Henderson · GOALKEEPER
- #23 · Jaydee Canvot · DEFENDER
- #5 · Maxence Lacroix · DEFENDER
- #34 · Chadi Riad · DEFENDER
- #2 · Daniel Muñoz · MIDFIELDER
- #8 · Jefferson Lerma · MIDFIELDER
- #18 · Daichi Kamada · MIDFIELDER
- #55 · Justin Devenny · MIDFIELDER
- #11 · Brennan Johnson · ATTACKER
- #22 · Jørgen Strand Larsen · ATTACKER
- #10 · Yéremy Pino · ATTACKER
Bench
Tyrick Mitchell, Ismaïla Sarr, Jean-Philippe Mateta, Nathaniel Clyne, Adam Wharton, Chris Richards, Remi Matthews, Walter Benítez
AFC Bournemouth
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #1 · Djordje Petrovic · GOALKEEPER
- #20 · Álex Jiménez · DEFENDER
- #23 · James Hill · DEFENDER
- #5 · Marcos Senesi · DEFENDER
- #3 · Adrien Truffert · DEFENDER
- #8 · Alex Scott · MIDFIELDER
- #12 · Tyler Adams · MIDFIELDER
- #37 · Rayan · MIDFIELDER
- #22 · Eli Kroupi · MIDFIELDER
- #16 · Marcus Tavernier · MIDFIELDER
- #9 · Evanilson · ATTACKER
Bench
David Brooks, Ryan Christie, Ben Gannon-Doak, Adam Smith, Bafodé Diakité, Amine Adli, Enes Ünal, Alex Tóth
Injuries
- AFC Bournemouth · Lewis Cook · Doubtful · DOUBTFUL
- Crystal Palace · Cheick Doucouré · Knee Injury · KNEE_INJURY
- AFC Bournemouth · Justin Kluivert · Doubtful · DOUBTFUL
- AFC Bournemouth · Matai Akinmboni · Muscle Injury · MUSCLE_INJURY
- Crystal Palace · Eddie Nketiah · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Crystal Palace · Caleb Kporha · Back Injury · BACK_INJURY
- Crystal Palace · Evann Guessand · Knee Injury · KNEE_INJURY
Why it made the board
The official lineups do not justify Bournemouth needing to win with margin. Palace have enough transition threat in their front three, and +0.75 covers the draw and only takes real damage if Bournemouth separate by two.
Main risk
Tactical Counter: Tactical Counter: Bournemouth’s press could pin Palace’s wing-backs deep and expose the away back three to sustained pressure.
Update timeline
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
May 3, 2026, 2:04 PM GMT+2
Revision time
May 3, 2026, 7:05 PM GMT+2
Score
3-0