Match detail
AEK Athens vs Rayo Vallecano
Europa Conference League · Quarter-finals
Match summary
vs
Europa Conference League · Quarter-finals
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Full Time
Venue
OPAP Arena
Referee
—
Live score
3-1
Top event
Asian Handicap: Rayo Vallecano +0.5
Probability
58%
Price
1.85
Initial publish
Apr 16, 2026, 12:20 AM GMT+2
Kickoff
Apr 16, 2026, 9:00 PM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 16, 2026, 8:09 PM GMT+2
Halftime score
2-0
What shaped the view
- + AEK trailing 0-3 should force home territory and leave open counter lanes rather than a controlled second leg.
- + AEK start a front-foot 4-4-2 with Zini and Varga up top; Rayo keep a strong 4-3-3 with Akhomach, de Frutos and Álvaro García for transition.
- + The +0.5 is the cleaner expression than the away win because Rayo can manage the tie through a draw.
Official lineups
Rayo Vallecano
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #13 · Augusto Batalla · GOALKEEPER
- #2 · Andrei Rațiu · DEFENDER
- #24 · Florian Lejeune · DEFENDER
- #5 · Luiz Felipe · DEFENDER
- #3 · Pep Chavarría · DEFENDER
- #17 · Unai López · MIDFIELDER
- #6 · Pathé Ciss · MIDFIELDER
- #12 · Ilias Akhomach · MIDFIELDER
- #7 · Isi Palazón · MIDFIELDER
- #18 · Álvaro García · MIDFIELDER
- #19 · Jorge de Frutos · ATTACKER
Bench
Dani Cárdenas, Pedro Díaz, Oscar Trejo, Alexandre Zurawski, Sergio Camello, Gerard Gumbau, Iván Balliu, Alfonso Espino
AEK Athens
Formation: 4-4-2 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #1 · Thomas Strakosha · GOALKEEPER
- #12 · Lazaros Rota · DEFENDER
- #2 · Harold Moukoudi · DEFENDER
- #44 · Filipe Relvas · DEFENDER
- #3 · Stavros Pilios · DEFENDER
- #11 · Aboubakary Koita · MIDFIELDER
- #18 · Răzvan Marin · MIDFIELDER
- #13 · Orbelín Pineda · MIDFIELDER
- #7 · Dereck Kutesa · MIDFIELDER
- #90 · Zini · ATTACKER
- #25 · Barnabás Varga · ATTACKER
Bench
Mijat Gacinovic, Martin Georgiev, Dimitrios Kaloskamis, Niclas Eliasson, Domagoj Vida, James Penrice, Roberto Pereyra, Angelos Angelopoulos
Injuries
- AEK Athens · Marko Grujić · No Eligibility · NO_ELIGIBILITY
- AEK Athens · João Mário · No Eligibility · NO_ELIGIBILITY
- AEK Athens · Robert Ljubicic · No Eligibility · NO_ELIGIBILITY
- AEK Athens · Hakim Sahabo · No Eligibility · NO_ELIGIBILITY
- AEK Athens · Jens Jönsson · Back Injury · BACK_INJURY
- AEK Athens · Alexander Callens · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- AEK Athens · Luka Jović · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Rayo Vallecano · Fran Pérez · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
Why it made the board
AEK have to push this game from the start, but Rayo’s lineup is well built for the spaces that creates. With a 3-0 first-leg cushion, the away side have multiple paths to avoid defeat without needing to force the night.
Main risk
Odds Trap: The aggregate angle can look safer than it is: if AEK score early and turn it into a sustained home siege, Rayo can still lose the match while winning the tie.
Update timeline
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
Apr 16, 2026, 12:20 AM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 16, 2026, 8:09 PM GMT+2
Score
Locked