Detail
World Cup 2026 · round_of_32
Zusammenfassung
World Cup 2026 · round_of_32
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Asian Handicap: Sweden +1.75
Wahrscheinlichkeit
Confidence
Confidence
58%Published
Anstoß
Last update
Ergebnis
Was die Sicht geprägt hat
Official lineups
Official lineups are not posted yet. This panel updates when the feed goes live.
Injuries
No injury report is currently available for this match.
Warum es im Board ist
CompleteFrance should control more territory through Tchouaméni/Rabiot protection and wide attackers around Mbappé, but the supplied handicap is large for a knockout 90-minute line. Sweden are not just relying on a deep block: Isak and Gyökeres provide hold-up, penalty-box threat, and counter finishing, with Elanga stretching the back line, so their +1.75 cover path survives both a level game and a one-goal/trailing script. Under 3.5 was considered, but it lost the comparison because a Sweden chase after conceding can open transitions both ways, making the side handicap cleaner than a full-game total.
Hauptrisiko
Tactical Counter: Main risk is France’s late bench depth: Thuram, Doué, Cherki, Mateta or Theo Hernández can raise the tempo against tired wing-backs and turn a controlled 1-0/2-0 into the half-loss or full-loss zone.
Update-Verlauf
Current version
Published
Last update
Spielstand