Detail
Burnley vs Brighton & Hove Albion
Premier League · 32
Zusammenfassung
vs
Premier League · 32
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Full Time
Venue
Turf Moor · Burnley
Referee
—
Live score
0-2
Top-Ereignis
Goals Over/Under - Over 2.5
Wahrscheinlichkeit
63%
Quote
1.66
Initial publish
11. Apr. 2026, 00:11 MESZ
Anstoß
11. Apr. 2026, 16:00 MESZ
Revision time
11. Apr. 2026, 15:12 MESZ
Halftime score
0-1
Was die Sicht geprägt hat
- + Brighton project the territorial control, Burnley still have transition and set-piece routes, so the game state leans toward 3+ goals rather than a pure side play.
- + Brighton are missing both Dunk and Webster but still field Minteh, Groß and Welbeck, with Mitoma and Rutter available late; Burnley miss Cullen, Laurent and Beyer, with Ward-Prowse used wide and plenty of attacking subs on the bench.
- + The total is cleaner than the short away win because Brighton should create enough, but their depleted centre-back setup also leaves Burnley live for a goal.
Official lineups
Burnley
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #1 · Martin Dúbravka · GOALKEEPER
- #12 · Bashir Humphreys · DEFENDER
- #18 · Hjalmar Ekdal · DEFENDER
- #5 · Maxime Estève · DEFENDER
- #3 · Quilindschy Hartman · DEFENDER
- #20 · James Ward-Prowse · MIDFIELDER
- #16 · Florentino · MIDFIELDER
- #10 · Marcus Edwards · MIDFIELDER
- #8 · Lesley Ugochukwu · MIDFIELDER
- #11 · Jaidon Anthony · MIDFIELDER
- #19 · Zian Flemming · ATTACKER
Bench
Kyle Walker, Joe Worrall, Jacob Bruun Larsen, Lyle Foster, Max Weiß, Loum Tchaouna, Lucas Pires, Armando Broja
Brighton & Hove Albion
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #1 · Bart Verbruggen · GOALKEEPER
- #27 · Mats Wieffer · DEFENDER
- #6 · Jan Paul van Hecke · DEFENDER
- #21 · Olivier Boscagli · DEFENDER
- #24 · Ferdi Kadıoğlu · DEFENDER
- #26 · Yasin Ayari · MIDFIELDER
- #30 · Pascal Groß · MIDFIELDER
- #25 · Diego Gómez · MIDFIELDER
- #13 · Jack Hinshelwood · MIDFIELDER
- #11 · Yankuba Minteh · MIDFIELDER
- #18 · Danny Welbeck · ATTACKER
Bench
Igor Julio, Solly March, Georginio Rutter, Carlos Baleba, Charalampos Kostoulas, Kaoru Mitoma, Jason Steele, Maxim De Cuyper
Injuries
- Brighton & Hove Albion · Adam Webster · Knee Injury · KNEE_INJURY
- Burnley · Hannibal · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Burnley · Zeki Amdouni · Cruciate Ligament Injury · CRUCIATE_LIGAMENT_INJURY
- Burnley · Axel Tuanzebe · Doubtful · DOUBTFUL
- Brighton & Hove Albion · Lewis Dunk · Yellow Card Suspension · YELLOW_CARD_SUSPENSION
- Burnley · Mike Tresor · Ankle Injury · ANKLE_INJURY
- Brighton & Hove Albion · Stefanos Tzimas · Cruciate Ligament Injury · CRUCIATE_LIGAMENT_INJURY
- Burnley · Connor Roberts · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Burnley · Jordan Beyer · Knee Injury · KNEE_INJURY
- Brighton & Hove Albion · Jason Steele · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
Warum es im Board ist
Official lineups make this more of a goals game than a side sell: Brighton still have enough attacking quality to score multiple times, while Burnley have clear routes into the match against a Brighton back line missing its usual centre-back pair.
Hauptrisiko
Odds Trap: Main failure modes are Burnley dropping into a stubborn back five and killing tempo, or the obvious over angle being priced tightly enough that the match dies at two goals.
Update-Verlauf
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
11. Apr. 2026, 00:11 MESZ
Revision time
11. Apr. 2026, 15:12 MESZ
Spielstand
Gesperrt