Uzbekistan vs Colombia

Current version

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• Opening Group K match for both after Portugal and Congo DR drew 1-1: Colombia have incentive to win, but not a clear need to chase goal difference from minute one; Uzbekistan can rationally protect a point and stay live in the group/third-place race.
• Uzbekistan’s 3-4-2-1 gives them three centre-backs plus wingback cover, with Fayzullaev, Urunov and Shomurodov still offering transition outlets. Colombia start a stronger attacking unit with Díaz, James, Arias and Suárez, but their edge is more control/pressure than an automatic multi-goal margin.
• Home +1.25 at 1.92 is preferred over Away -1.25 because Colombia need a two-goal win to fully beat the line, while a one-goal Colombia win still gives Uzbekistan a half-win. The full-time Under 2.5 at 1.87 is playable but weaker because Colombia’s bench attackers can raise late scoring; Over 2.5 at 1.97 needs Uzbekistan to either score or the match to open, which is less reliable against their compact setup.