Spain vs Austria

Current version

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• First-half reference markets point to Spain early pressure but not a guaranteed fast total. Expect controlled Spanish possession before the first goal, then higher transition and extension risk if Austria must chase.
• Spain’s XI has Rodri-Pedri control, Olmo between lines, Yamal/Baena width and Oyarzabal as the central finisher, with Ferran Torres, Borja Iglesias, Grimaldo, Gavi, Merino and Fabián Ruiz giving strong late attacking/control options. Austria have Alaba-Danso and a hard-working midfield, but their bench leans toward target-forward chase options rather than sustained control if forced open.
• Asian Handicap was preferred over Goals Over/Under: Over 2.75 needs either Austria contribution or a 4-goal Spain push for full strength, while Spain -1.5 also wins on a controlled 2-0. Under 2.75 lost the comparison because knockout caution helps early, but a first Spain goal can force Austria into a chase and expose late margin risk. This is regulation-time only; Spain advancement strength is not treated as extra-time safety.